RHBInvest Research

IPO: APFT RM0.50
Top Gun made in Malaysia

Riding on positive industry outlook. Asia Pacific Flight Training Berhad (APFT) is the only stock with exposure to aviation training and it will list on the Bursa main market today. APFT will benefit from the growth plans of MAS, AirAsia and Firefly as these airlines will require more trained aviation professionals. Its IPO price of RM0.50 is attractive with a historical PER of 8.9x and 20-30% p.a. expected earnings growth for the next 2-3 years.


UMW Holdings RM7.17: Hold
PCSB charters Naga 3 rig Shariah-compliant

Priced in, maintain Hold. We expect the Naga 3 rig charter to contribute about 2% to UMW's net profit in 2012. We retain our earnings forecasts as we have built in this new charter into our model. Auto will continue to drive Group earnings in 2011 but the upside is limited. We remain cautious on UMW's O&G turnaround (i.e. WSP, Naga 2), a market contrarian, with minimal catalysts to excite in 1H. Our RM7.20 target price is unchanged, based on 12x 2011 EPS.


RESULTS REVIEW
S P Setia RM6.07: Buy
On track as strong sales continue Shariah-compliant

Maintain Buy. 1QFY11 normalised net profit of RM62m (+13% QoQ, +62% YoY) came in within expectations. Sales momentum remained strong with RM953m recorded in 4MFY11 (32% of SPSB’s RM3b FY11 sales target), lifting unbilled sales to RM2.1b (or 1.1x of our forecast). 2011 focus will be on its flagship RM6b KL Eco City (KLEC) project. We raise earnings by 2-4% and RNAV by 5 sen. Target price is raised to RM7.20 (+5 sen). SPSB is our top pick for the property sector.


Kencana Petroleum RM2.54: Buy
On track Shariah-compliant

We remain Buyers of Kencana. Interim results are tracking expectations. We foresee the momentum of contract flows picking up in 2HFY11 and strengthening into FY12 as PETRONAS' capex programs intensify. We do not rule out potential strategic partnership(s) should Kencana aim to participate in domestic deepwater development. We value Kencana at RM3.10, based on 20x CY12 EPS. Our 20x target is validated in a capex-fueled, order book-driven upcycle.


Technicals
The FBM KLCI closed lower by 0.35 points yesterday, almost unchanged at 1,492.09. Its resistance areas of 1,492 and 1,515 will cap market gains, whilst the weak support areas are located at 1,474 and 1,488. We expect the index to remain in a minor rebound mode in the short term and to be bearish in the medium term.

Trading Idea for today is a Take Profit call on AXIATA


Other Local News
Parkson: May foray into Indonesia. Parkson Holdings Bhd is teaming up with PT Tozy Bintang Sentosa (TBS) to expand its Parkson department stores in Indonesia. The TBS Group operates six retail stores under the brand names of Centro Lifestyle Department Store and Kem Chicks in Indonesia and it planned to add another two more stores. The eight stores were expected to generate more than USD100m in sales turnover in 2011. (Source: The Edge Daily)

Market: Capital market crosses RM2t. Securities Commission chairman Tan Sri Zarinah Anwar said Malaysia's capital market corssed the RM2t threshold for the first time ever as at end-2010, achieved an annual compounded growth rate of 11% from RM717b in 2000. (Soure: The Star)

Property: EPF buys 3rd London property for GBP148m. It marks the EPF's third property investment there since announcing an allocation of GBP1b for British property purchases. EPF's other 2 propery purchases are One Sheldon Square in Paddington Central, which was bought for GBP156m, and 40 Portman Square near Oxford Street which was acquired for GBP180m. The 2 properties have yields of 5.75% and 5.55% respectively. (Source: The Star)

Smelting: OMH plans Sarawak smelter. Austrialia-listed OM Holdings Ltd (OMH) plans to set up a manganese and ferro silicon alloy smelter under the Sarawak Corridor of Renewable Energy (SCORE) initiative, expected to be ready in 3Q 2011. The smelter facility is expected to have the capability to produce 300,000 tonnes of manganese ferro alloys and 300,000 tonnes of ferro silicon alloys a year. (Source: The Star)

Faber: Plans RM272m capital reduction. Faber Group Bhd will undertake a capital reduction to clean up its balance sheet, as part of a plan that will allow greater flexibility for the company to determine future cash dividend payouts. Faber will cancel 75sen of its current par value of RM1 a share. (Source: Bursa Malaysia)