Maybank IB Views

Wednesday, May 4, 2011

Banking: Overweight
Bouncing back in March

Loan growth stronger than expected. System loan growth in March was stronger than expected and on an annualized basis, is up 12.9% YTD (13.2% YoY). On a YTD basis, non-household loan growth was higher at 13.6% versus 12.3% YTD for consumer loan growth. We raise our system loan growth forecast, and maintain our Overweight stance on the banking sector, with Buys on RHB Capital and CIMB.

Petronas Chemicals Group RM7.22: Buy
April high to take a breather Shariah-compliant

Supply disruption boost. PCHEM's product margin in April 2011 was USD1,243/ton (+44.7% YoY, +3.2% MoM), we estimate. The year-to-date product margin of USD1,138/ton is 32.2% higher YoY, and above our 2011 estimate of USD1,027/ton. The advance of chemical prices has stagnated in certain segments but overall it has been a mixed bag with gainers and losers almost neutralizing each other. Maintain Buy; there is no change to our earnings forecasts and RM8.00 target price.

Sunway REIT RM1.09: Buy
On track Shariah-compliant

Maintain Buy. SunREIT's RM126.2m 9MFY11 realised net profit was within expectations. Its proposed 1.7 sen DPU for 3QFY11 was also in line. We continue to like SunREIT as we believe it will benefit from the 5-6% p.a. growth in the local retail market and rising consumerism. We see a potential upside from its recently-acquired Putra Place, though a major makeover may be required for the building before it starts contributing to the trust. We maintain our earnings forecasts with an unchanged RM1.15 DCF-based target price.

Eastern Pacific Industrial Corp RM2.40: Hold
No surprises, no catalyst Shariah-compliant

No catalyst in sight. 1Q11 results were in line, on stronger YoY performance. EPIC remains a Hold. We see no immediate catalyst to warrant a re-rating. Moreover, the development of Tanjong Agas in Pahang will pose a challenge to its competitiveness in the long term. Our RM2.55 target price remains unchanged, based on 8x 2011 PER.

The FBM KLCI closed 3.48 points lower at 1,531.47 yesterday. Its resistance areas of 1,531 and 1,548 will cap market gains, whilst the obvious support areas are located at 1,514 and 1,529. We expect further range trading for the FBM KLCI. As such, invest with a short-term time horizon.

Trading idea for today is a Buy call on E&O.

Other Local News
Axiata: Dialog, Firstsource in JV. Sri Lanka-based Dialog Axiata, a subsidiary of Axiata, announced a business process outsourcing (BPO) joint venture with India's Firstsource Solutions. Firstsource Solutions and Dialog will hold a 74% and a 26% stake respectively in Dialog Business Services (DBS). The JV will manage Dialog's customer contact management operations across its mobile, fixed line, pay television and broadband businesses. (Source: Business Times)

RHBCap: ADCB eyes 2 times book value for RHB stake. Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank is looking at two times book value, or about RM10 per share, for its 25% stake in RHB Capital Bhd. (Source: The Star)

EonCap: Restraining order unlikely by Primus as such move may result in legal suit by HLB. Primus Pacific Partners Ltd, which last week lost its legal case against EON Capital Bhd's (EON Cap) directors and shareholders, is unlikely to file a restraining order or injunction to stop the sale of EON Cap's assets to Hong Leong Bank Bhd (HLB) for fear of opening itself up to a legal suit. (Source: The Star)

KPJ: To raise RM500m for projects. KPJ Healthcare Bhd has launched its Islamic commercial papers/Islamic medium-term notes (ICP/IMTN) programme to raise RM500m to finance hospital and healthcare projects. (Source: The Star)

Ramunia: Unveils plan to bring the group out of PN17 status. Ramunia Holdings Bhd has unveiled a regularisation plan to address its PN17 status that involved a proposed capital reconstruction, rights issue and business rejuvenation plan. (Source: The Star)

TRC Synergy: Bags RM45m contract. TRC Synergy Bhd's unit, Trans Resources Corp Sdn Bhd has won a RM45m job from Boustead Penang Shipyard Sdn Bhd to build submarine safety conditioning facilities. (Source: Business Times)


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