Maybank IB Views

Friday, May 27, 2011

YTL Power International RM2.22: Buy
Great results tempered by poor dividends Shariah-compliant

Mixed signals. We are impressed that YTLP recorded earnings growth YoY despite start up losses at YES but disappointed that third interim net DPS remain subdued at 1.875 sen. We believe that this maybe due to it conserving cash ahead of its joint bid for the 2,000MW Pemalang IPP in Central Java. Maintain Buy call and RM2.70 DCF based target price pending a meeting with management.

KNM Group RM2.53: Buy
Soft 1Q, expects stronger quarters ahead Shariah-compliant

Weak results but hopes stay afloat. 1Q11 results were sub-par, underlying the margin compression effect from the low-yielding projects secured in the past. We maintain our forecasts for now. Top line recovery is visible but KNM needs to deliver its normalised margins and on bottom line to rerate. KNM remains a prospective long-term Buy.

Star Publications (Malaysia) RM3.35: Hold
Catalyst in M&As Shariah-compliant

Results delivered, M&As next. Star's 1Q11 results were within expectations. Our earnings estimates are marginally tweaked for higher adex growth assumption, offset by creeping staff costs. Maintain Hold with a marginally lower SOP-based target price of RM3.69 (-1%). The focus is now on further M&A activities enabled by the RM200m it recently drew down from its CP/MTN facility.

WCT RM3.04: Buy
No surprises Shariah-compliant

Reiterate Buy. 1Q11 net profit of RM37m made up 20% of our full-year forecast. The results were in line with house and street expectations. We maintain our earnings forecasts, expecting stronger quarters ahead to meet our 31% net profit growth projection for 2011. Target price is unchanged at RM3.75 based on sum-of-parts (15x 2012 PER plus 20sen value enhancement for KLIA2 retail concession).

Sunway City RM5.05: Hold
On track; expect stronger 2H Shariah-compliant

Accept offer. RM35m 1Q11 core net profit was in line. We maintain our earnings forecasts and RM5.10 TP (offer price for merger with Sunway Holdings). However, we downgrade SunCity to a Hold since its share price is approaching the offer price. We advocate shareholders to accept the SunCity-SunHoldings merger offer, which would result in a bigger entity with an e.RM3.6b market capitalisation and better liquidity. We estimate RNAV for the merged entity to be around RM3.70.

AEON Co RM6.45: Buy
2H has to catch up Shariah-compliant

Results in line. 1Q11 core net profit of RM35.7m (-13.3% YoY, -18.9% QoQ) was 20% of our and street estimates, after stripping off RM10.9m of insurance claims on its shopping centre in Melaka for a fire in 2009. We maintain our forecasts for now, expecting a stronger 2H to make up our full-year forecasts. 2H should strengthen with the reopening of the 1 Utama store, in time for the Raya and year-end festive seasons

Ann Joo Resources RM2.90: Buy
Seeing domestic cyclical growth Shariah-compliant

Back in the black. 1Q11 ex-forex net profit of RM34m (4Q10: RM3m net loss, 1Q10: RM42m net profit) was inline with expectations, making up 19% of our full-year forecast and 18% of consensus. Earnings growth momentum is likely to sustain on the commencement of big-ticket construction jobs (i.e. LRT Package A). Maintain Buy with a target price of RM3.30 (11x FD 2012 PER).

Technicals
The FBM KLCI gained 7.37 points to close at 1,540.94 yesterday. Its resistance areas of 1,542 and 1,555 will cap market gains, whilst the obvious support areas are located at 1,525 and 1,540.Due to the DJIA’s marginally firmer tone last night, we will see some benign trading activities today.

Daily trading idea is a Short-Term Buy call on DKSH.

Other Local News
RHB Cap: Abu Dhabi bank to meet over stake sale. A decision on the sale of the 25% stake held by Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB) in RHB Capital Bhd is expected after ADCB board meeting on May 31. (Source: The Star)

Ann Joo: Plans expansion. Steel maker Ann Joo Resources Bhd is looking at expanding its operations across South-East Asia via joint ventures (JVs) or mergers and acquisitions (M&As) in greenfields and small regional steel millers. (Source: The Star)

Wah Seong: Tipped for LNG pipe coating job. Wah Seong Corp Bhd is close to bagging a pipe coating job relating to the Australia Pacific liquefied natural gas (APLNG) project, valued at about RM122m (USD40m). The project is expected to be given out in the next one to two months. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Property: Tycoon Li Kashing firm buying malls in Malaysia. Singapore-based ARA Asset Management Ltd, which is linked to Hong Kong tycoon Li Kashing, is in different stages of negotiation to buy between five and 10 malls throughout Malaysia. Its second Asia Dragon Fund has a fund size of USD1b to buy Asian assets. (Source: The Star)

Consumer: Govt to review subsidy if oil price hits USD110-120 per barrel. The government has decided to maintain the prices of RON95 petrol , diesel, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), but will review the fuel subsidy if oil price reaches between USD 110-120 per barrel. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

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