RHBInvest Research

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Top Story: Tan Chong

Results Preview

  • Robust 1Q Earnings Expected
  • While supply constraints are still a sector worry, Tan Chong’s high inventory levels of over RM1bn at end-2010 (2009: RM673m) will enable it to better weather possible component shortages in the coming months
  • We believe the share price already reflects potential supply concerns and is close to being fairly valued.
  • We lower our fair value to RM4.95 (from RM5.40) to reflect lower peer valuations but reiterate our Market Perform call on the stock.

Corporate Highlights


Results / Briefing note
  • Low loan impairment losses boosts net profit
  • Fair value has been raised to RM10.50 from RM10.20. Maintain Outperform.

YTL Power:

Company Update
  • YTL Comms yesterday launched the Yes Life app (free to download) for Apple products running iOS 4, which allows iPad and iPod Touch users to add full mobile functionally into their devices, while iPhone users can have a 2nd mobile phone number.
  • Maintained SOP-derived fair value at RM2.57. Without management’s assurance on future dividends, we believe YTLP may lose a bit of shine since the key investment thesis for the stock has historically been high dividend yields.


News Update
  • TRC has proposed a 1-into-2 share split, followed by a 1-for-5 bonus issues, and a 1-for-5 free warrant issue (WB).
  • Maintain Outperform. Fair value is RM1.94.


Briefing Note
  • MISC guided for a FY12/11 that will be “every much like what you saw in FY03/11” but a better FY12/12 ahead with “step-up” earnings from LNG and offshore segments.
  • Fair value is RM7.53. Maintain Underperform.


Results Preview
  • 1QFY12/11 Results Should Please Market, But Greater Earnings Volatility Ahead
  • We expect AirAsia’s 1QFY12/11 results to beat our forecast but trail market expectations slightly.
  • We expect AirAsia’s 1QFY12/11 core PBT to come in at RM160-165m, down 51-53% sequentially vis-à-vis RM340m recorded in 4QFY12/10 due to the seasonally lower traffic and yields and higher fuel cost.
  • We are raising our FY12/11-13 net profit forecasts by 27-30% as we now assume AirAsia’s yields to only ease -6.1% in FY12/11 vis-à-vis -7.7% previously.
  • Fair value is raised by 27% from RM2.10 to RM2.66. Maintain Underperform.

Century Logistics:

Results/Briefing Note
  • Seasonally weak 1QFY12/11, Stronger Quarters Ahead
  • Century expects to secure a contract from a new customer for its integrated logistic segment to provide storage and distribution services.
  • Century is looking for further opportunities to export in high growing developing countries. Already successful in exporting to Argentina, the company expects to enter Brazil as its next export destination.
  • Fair value of RM2.70/share. Maintain Outperform.

Media Prima:

Results Note
  • 1Q11 Core Net Profit Up 19.1% YoY
  • We maintain our fair value of RM3.20. We reiterate our Outperform call on the stock.

RH Petrogas:

Results Note
  • RHP’s 1QFY11 net earnings of S$1.5m were largely in-line with our earnings estimates accounting for about 19.5% of our net profit expectations (S$7.6m). However, it only accounted for 14% of consensus full year estimates of S$10.95m.
  • Forecasts. No change to earnings estimates at this juncture as earnings are relatively in line.
  • Maintain our Outperform call on the stock and our fair value of S$1.81/share.


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