Maybank IB Views

Friday, June 10, 2011

Malaysia Airports Holdings RM6.53: Buy

Thriving under adversity. MAHB's April 2011 traffic statistics reveal a strong 16.3% YoY passenger growth (4M 2011: +13.0% YoY). This is above industry average and makes MAHB's 2011 guidance of 8% traffic growth look like a pushover target. Cargo volumes shrunk by 6.2% YoY, consistent with the global collapse of the freight market. Maintain Buy; no change to our earnings forecasts and RM7.12/share DCF-based target price.

Industrial Production Index (IPI), Apr '11
Unexpected decline to be short-lived…

April's industrial production (IP) growth unexpectedly fall 2.2% YoY (revised Mar '11: +2.9% YoY; Maybank IB: +2.2% YoY; Consensus: +2.5% YoY) as the MoM drop of 7.6% MoM was more than our estimate of a 3% MoM decline. Malaysia joined Singapore and Thailand in posting lower IP in Apr on Japan's supply chain effect, with E&E and auto industries being the drag. However, indicators like Japan's PMI, imports of intermediate goods and manufacturing loans statistics point to a "short-lived" dip.

S P Setia RM4.10: Buy
Earnings uptrend continues Shariah-compliant

Reiterate Buy. SPSB's RM121m 1HFY11 core net profit (+35% YoY) track expectations. YTD sales at RM1.7b has also met 55% of its RM3b target for FY11. Including e.RM1.5b sales/bookings from KL Eco City (KLEC), YTD sales would be c.RM3.1b (beats full-year target by 5%). We are bullish on SPSB's 2H performance, driven by strong sales at KLEC and potential RM8-10b GDV worth of new landbank. We maintain earnings forecasts and RM4.75 RNAV-based TP.

The FBM KLCI closed marginally lower by 0.90 points and ended at 1,550.89 yesterday. Its resistance areas of 1,554 and 1,568 will cap market gains, whilst the obvious support areas are located at 1,537 and 1,551. We expect the FBM KLCI to remain quiet today, as the initial gains (following the American markets’ rise last night) could be curtailed by the pre-weekend profit-taking activities in the latter part of the day.

Daily trading idea is a Short-Term Buy call on MWE.

Other Local News
MAS: Final assembly of MAS A380 planes begins. The first Malaysia Airlines' (MAS) A380 has entered the Airbus final assembly line in Toulouse, France, for the final production phase. MAS has six A380s on order with deliveries due to begin in 2012. (Source: The Star)

UEM: In RM850m Nusajaya development project with Iskandar. UEM Land Holdings Bhd is collaborating with Iskandar Investment Bhd to develop retail and residential units in Nusajaya, Johor with a gross development value of RM850m. UEM Land owns 55% equity interest in that company while the remaining is under Iskandar. (Source: The Star)

Benalec: Unit target Mid-east investment with OIC Today. Benalec Bhd subsidiary has formed a strategic alliance with OIC Today magazine to attract investment from the Middle East for a proposed mixed commercial and tourism project in Klebang, Melaka. (Source: Business Times)

O&G: Perak approves RM5.8b investment in LNG project. The Perak government has approved a 60-ha site in Tanjung Hantu, Manjung for a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project involving an investment of RM5.8b that would be undertaken by Atigas Technology Sdn Bhd. The government is expected to save RM2b in subsidy a year because Atigas will sell the gas at the same subsidized price. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Banking: Bank Mualamat still in merger mood. Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd is still keen to merge with a rival to build a mega Islamic bank, despite its failed attempt at courting Bank Islam Malaysia Bhd. The bank's pursuit of Bank Islam was driven by its largest shareholders' need to pare its stake in the bank and the desire by both its shareholders to create a bigger entity that is more relevant in the market. (Source: Business Times)

Market: MMHE to replace MAS in index. Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering will replace Malaysia Airlines in the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI following the semi-annual review of the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Index Series. (Source: The Star)


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