Maybank IB Views

COMPANY UPDATE
Lafarge Malayan Cement RM6.85: Buy
A strong proxy to construction sector

Maintain Buy. As the largest cement producer in the country, LMC is undoubtedly a proxy to, and a major beneficiary of, the high growth construction sector, which in itself, should see robust activity, once projects under Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) take off. Additionally, we expect its share price to be supported by its decent net dividend yield of 5%. Maintain Buy with a marginally lower TP of RM7.60 (RM7.85 previously) on 17x 2013 PER as we roll forward valuations after trimming earnings forecasts by 11% p.a..

UMW Holdings RM6.60: Hold
Bareboat charters Hakuryu-5 to PCSB

Maintain Hold. UMW's USD72m bareboat charter contract of Hakuryu-5 to PCSB, which yields low margin, is earnings neutral to Group earnings (<1%). As such, we are keeping our forecasts and RM6.60 target price unchanged, based on 11x 2012 EPS.

ECONOMICS
ETP Update
One year after

The latest ETP briefing (1 Nov 2011) by PEMANDU provided three key updates. First, of the 70 EPPs and 27 initiatives announced so far, 31% are fully operational, 50% have commenced implementation, and 17% are still work-in-progress. Second, of the RM171b investment announced to date, 9% or RM15b is implemented in 2011, including RM10b actualised in 1H 2011. Third, private investment in 1H 2011 was RM51.2b, meaning 19.5% of it came from ETP.

ETP Progress Updates 1-7
Implementation Update

Provided by PEMANDU on the official website.

RESULTS REVIEW
Sunway REIT RM1.14: Buy
Sequentially stronger

On track. SunREIT's RM44.2m 1QFY12 net profit tracked our and market expectations. Longer-term view is positive supported by Sunway Putra Place's (SPP) attractive est. 9% property yield. We maintain our earnings forecasts, RM1.18 DCF-based TP and Buy call, the latter premised on a 12-month total return of 10% based on our target price and forecast dividends.

Technicals
The FBM KLCI fell 16.25-points to close at 1,475.64 yesterday. Its resistance areas of 1,475 and 1,494 will cap market gains, whilst the weaker support areas may be located at 1,446 and 1,470. Due to the US markets’ much lower tone last night; we may see an initial drop for the index. Some later miniscule local bargain hunting activities cushion the local markets’ plungein the afternoon session. We expect a very volatile trading day.

Trading Idea is a take profit call on CBIP.

Other Local News
SapuraCrest: Wins RM4.4b Brazilian oil and gas job. SapuraCrest gas clinched a contract from Petroleo Brasileiro SA worth about USD1.4b (RM4.4b) to charter and operate three deepwater flexible pipe-laying supports vessels (PLSVs).Revenue from the award was expected to be generated by the fourth quarter of 2014. (Source: Bursa Malaysia)

Supermax: Declares 1 for 1 bonus. Supermax Corp has proposed a one-for-one bonus issue involving 340.1m new shares and a share buyback of up to 10% of its issued share capital. Both proposals are expected to be completed by the first quarter of 2012. (Source:Bursa Malaysia)

DiGi: Capital Management Initiative. DiGi is expected to distribute about RM509m to its shareholders by the first half of 2012 under the proposed capital distribution upon its redemption of the redeemable preference shares of about RM509m. (Source: Bursa Malaysia)

TNB: Gas shortage for 2-3 months more. TNB will have to deal with losses caused by having to substitute costly fuel oil for power generation as the government decides that electricity prices will remain unchanged. TNB has been buying fuel oil to replace natural gas for electricity generation, which will cost the company an additional RM2.1b for the second half of 2011. (Source: Business Times)

Telekom: Tough procurement policy saves RM1b. The massive RM11.3b high-speed broadband (HSBB) project may eventually cost Telekom Malaysia Bhd (TM) at least RM1b less in expenditure than its original costing because it has implemented a tough procurement policy. (Source: The Star)

Aviation: SIA targets mid-2012 Scoot takeoff. SIA new long-haul budget carrier will be renamed “Scoot” with takeoff set for mid-2012. The new carrier will fly to cities in China and Australia, operating a fleet of 200 second-hand Boeing 777 jets and charging up to 40% less than full-service airlines. (Source:The Edge Financial Daily)