Showing posts with label IJM Plantation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IJM Plantation. Show all posts

RHBInvest Research

Monday, September 12, 2011

Top Story: IJM Plantation – Harvesting for the future Outperform

Visit Note

¨ Key highlights from our recent meeting: (1) Strong recovery in FFB production so far but can it last?; (2) Happy with current CPO prices; (3) Not required to implement MAPA wage hike; (4) New planting targets reduced; and (5) Capex guidance raised.



Corporate Highlights



MAHB: Hike charges to be put on hold Outperform

News Update

¨ MAHB announced that it has been advised by the Ministry of Transport to delay the hike in charges until further review which was scheduled to commence on Sept 15.

¨ Given that the hike will now be put on hold, we believe there is a possibility of two scenarios: 1) Hike in charges will likely be structured into Marginal Cost Support (MARCS), a compensation mechanism which MAHB will be paid by the government of the difference between the actual amount charged and the revised level; or 2) Hikes to be completely called off.

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Maybank IB Views

Tuesday, August 23, 2011



KNM Group RM1.48: Sell
Poor delivery, Sell Shariah-compliant

Downgrade to Sell, target price cut to RM1.19 (-41%). 1H results were a letdown, prompting us to cut 2011-13 earnings by up to 64% p.a.. While KNM delivered on topline, bottomline was a disappointment, felled by cost overruns and high operating expenses. While the share price has underperformed by 48% YTD, we expect performance to be further suppressed. There is no sign of an operating recovery and cost control is absent. Further, valuations are expensive now.

Alam Maritim Resources RM0.78: Hold
Results improve but recovery lingers Shariah-compliant

Pacing but not running. Alam returned to profitability in 2Q but overall, 1H results still missed expectations. Operationally, Alam is showing signs of a turnaround but the catalyst to warrant an upgrade remains elusive. Its stretched balance remains a concern, debilitating its ability to grow. Maintain Hold with a lower target price of RM0.85, based on a reduced 9x 2012 EPS (versus 12x previously).

QL Resources RM2.98: Buy
Margin erosion Shariah-compliant

Below expectations. 1QFY12 results were below consensus and our full-year numbers, with margin contraction seen in the 2 main divisions. Total net profit of RM27.8m (+3.7% YoY, -11.9% QoQ) made up 17% and 19% of our forecast and consensus for FY12. We do expect stronger earnings in the coming quarters and QL remains a Buy. Our forecasts are nevertheless revised down on lower margin expectations and our target price is lowered to RM3.39.

Technicals
The FBM KLCI fell 11.82 points to close at the 1,472.16 yesterday in persistent selling activities. Its resistance areas of 1,472 and 1,500 will cap market gains, whilst the weaker support areas are located at 1,423 and 1,467.


Other Local News
Aeon: Upbeat on 'new' Jusco at 1Utama. Aeon Co (M) Bhd expects the newly renovated and relocated Jusco store in 1Utama Shopping Centre to ring in more sales than previously. The Japan-based retailer is optimistic that it will make RM300m within a year from yesterday. It had made over RM200m in a year previously. (Source: Business Times)

CIMB: Among banks hired for planned MU listing. English football club Manchester United has hired a slew of banks including Malaysia's CIMB Group for its planned listing on the Singapore stock exchange. The US-based Glazer family hired Hong Kong-based BOC International, Malaysia's CIMB, Singapore's DBS and pan-Asian investment bank CLSA as joint lead managers, in a move that suggested the owners are keen to get a well-diversified regional spread of investors. (Source: Business Times)

Maxis: In cloud computing connection with MDeC. Maxis Bhd aims to work closely with the Multimedia Development Corp (MDeC) to establish joint programmes to promote adoption of cloud computing services for independent software vendors. The collaboration will accelerate the adoption of cloud technology by software vendors and businesses. It will also pave the way for an array of enterprise-grade cloud solutions to become available to Malaysian businesses. (Source: Business Times)

IJMP: To invest over RM1b to double up Indonesian venture. IJM Plantations Bhd is investing more than RM1b to double its total planted area in Indonesia to 40,000ha and expects to see substantial earnings contribution from the venture from 2014 onwards. IJM Plantations expects Indonesia to contribute one third of its earnings when planting is completed in Indonesia by 2014 and eventually its contribution is expected to be bigger than the earnings from its Malaysian plantation. (Source: The Malaysian Reserve)

Transportation: Prasarana to manage MRT issues till handover. Syarikat Prasarana Negara Berhad (Prasarana) will continue to manage all issues related to the My Rapid Transit (MRT) project until the establishment of MRT Co. Prasarana would carry on with all works and programmes that has been decided before it officially hands it over to the new MRT Co. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)


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RHBInvest Research

Monday, May 16, 2011

Top Story: IJM Plantation – Short-term pain for long-term gain Market Perform

Visit Note
Key takeaways from our visit to IJMP’s estates and operations in Sandakan: 1) Heavy rainfall affected FFB production and OER; 2) Sold part of FY03/12 production forward; 3) Locked in 80% of fertiliser requirement for FY03/12; 4) Labour shortage of 10% currently; 5) Planted close to 9,000ha in FY03/11; and 6) Efficient facility, impressive long-term planning.



MMHE: Fair value unchanged at RM5.75 Underperform

Petronas unveiled plans for a US$20bn (RM61bn) refinery and petrochemicals complex in Pengerang, Johor last week.



Corporate Highlights

Dialog: Starting up the “Pengerang” engine Outperform

News Update
Dialog announced last week that the Johor state government had given the go ahead for the company to begin reclamation work for the proposed independent deepwater terminal in Pengerang. The total investment for the project is estimated at RM5bn over a 7-year period.

Kencana: Proposed acquisition to enter the subsea market Outperform

News Update
Kencana announced last week that it is looking to acquire Allied Marine & Equipment (AME), a company that specialises in subsea services for the oil and gas industry. The acquisition will cost RM400m, to be satisfied via the issue of 149.3m new shares at RM2.68 each.



DRB-Hicom: Keen to explore Bank Muamalat – Bank Islam merger Outperform

News Update
DRB-HICOM (DRB) issued a press release in a response to media reports that BIMB Holdings (BIMBH) had been approached to consider buying Bank Muamalat (BM).


CSC Steel: 1QFY11 net profit more than doubled qoq to RM24.0m Outperform

1QFY11 Results
1QFY11 net profit came in at 31% of our full-year forecast and 30% of the full-year market consensus. However, we consider the results within expectations as we expect lower margins in the next few quarters due to higher raw material cost.

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RHBInvest Research Highlight 19 Nov 2010

Friday, November 19, 2010


Top Story

IJM Plantation:
Highly sensitive to CPO prices.
Fair value is RM2.90. Market Perform.

Sector Call

Rubber Gloves:
First bird flu case detected in Hong Kong since 2003.
Neutral stance on the sector as the near-term outlook remains challenging.

Corporate Highlights

MPI:
Two more quarters of inventory correction.
Fair value is cut to RM5.17. Downgrade our call to Underperform (from market perform).



Daibochi:
Rising raw material prices - Part II
Fair value reduced to RM2.95. Market Perform.



KNM:
RM670m wins.
Maintain our Underperform call and fair value of RM0.37

Technical Highlights

Daily Trading Strategy:
Investors applying wait-and-see strategy.
However, given the slight downward tick on the 10-day SMA near 1,511 and the poor state of the short-term momentum readings, trading activities are likely to stay under pressure.
We foresee a rangebound trading today as the FBM KLCI fluctuates between the two SMAs (1,490 – 1,511), while most investors staying sideline ahead of the weekend.


Daily Technical Watch: WCT
Continue to trade under pressure in the immediate term
Immediate Support at RM2.80
Immediate Resistance at RM3.20

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IJM Plantation Weekly Chart at 38% Fibonacci Retracement Level

Saturday, April 19, 2008

Have you use the Fibonacci Retracement before? How to do it? Here I just attached what I have done with the chart using Fibonacci Retracement.

IJM Plantation on the Weekly Chart

On the IJM Plantation weekly chart above, you can see that IJM Plantation was supported at Fibonacci Retracement 38% level. Fibonacci Retracement can be used to determine support at the uptrend and resistance during downtrend. For this case, we are using Fibonacci Retracement 38% for support level. From the chart we can see that the stock really bounced when it touch the support level.

Currently I don't do trading because of the global weak market. Anyway, I have to continue learning as long as it will give me gain knowledge more and more.

Happy learning and happy trading!

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