Maybank IB Views

ACQUISITIONS / DISPOSAL
PLUS Expressways RM4.69: Hold
The loner in UEM-EPF Shariah-compliant

Nothing at offer close. MMC Corp did not throw in a new bid for PLUS as speculated. Jelas Ulung did not put in a RM50m cash deposit which means that it is out of the race. All eyes will now be back on UEM-EPF, which is the lone "bidder". The offer implies RM4.60 per PLUS share. PLUS is now officially a Hold; our call has been put under review since its share price started trending close to the UEM-EPF offer price. UEM-EPF's offer is fair, close to our RM4.70-DCF derived target price.


COMPANY UPDATE
Gamuda RM4.21: Buy
New water offer significantly undervalues Shariah-compliant

Another long drawn affair. The Selangor Government's latest offer for SPLASH values its equity value at RM297.5m, we estimate. Gamuda's short announcement yesterday only quoted the offer price on a per share basis, but not the total amount. If our calculation is right, the offer prices SPLASH at just 0.63x book. We think that the offer will be rejected by SPLASH's three shareholders, including Gamuda. Water consolidation in Selangor seems like another long drawn affair.


Sunrise RM3.12
Ceasing coverage Shariah-compliant

Stock to be delisted. The take-over offer by UEM Land at RM2.80 a piece has received 96.4% acceptances. UEM Land does not intend to maintain the listing status of Sunrise, which has been suspended since 31 Dec 2010. We are ceasing research coverage of Sunrise. Investors should no longer depend on our financial forecasts of Sunrise in making investment decisions, nor infer an adverse opinion as a result of our decision to cease coverage.


ECONOMICS
Industrial Production Index Nov '10
Stabilising after slowdown

Industrial production in Nov '10 picked up to +5.1% YoY (Oct '10: +3.1% YoY). However, on MoM basis, output fell across the board by 3.7%. YTD, the industrial production index (IPI) was up +7.8%. For Oct-Nov '10, it increased by +4.1% YoY (3Q10: +4.3% YoY; 2Q10: +10.8% YoY, 1Q10: +11.1% YoY). Using this to estimate real GDP, we came to a figure of around +5.0% YoY for 4Q10 (3Q10: +5.3% YoY; 2Q10: +8.9% YoY; 1Q10: +10.1% YoY). Our 2010 economic growth estimate of +7% reflects a 4% YoY expansion in the final three months.


Technicals
The FBM KLCI fell 8.69 points to 1,563.52 yesterday. Its resistance area of 1,563 and 1,576 will cap market gains, whilst its weaker support areas are located at 1,535 and 1,560.


Other Local News
Proton: In talks with to assemble vehicles in India. Proton Holdings Bhd could be in talks with Indian automobile manufacturer, Hindustan Motors to assemble its vehicles for the Indian market. Proton is in favour of using Hindustan Motors' Chennai plant, set up for assembling the Mitsubishi Lancer, to locally produce its Exora multi-purpose vehicle. (Source: The Star)

SapuraCrest: Gets RM750m loan. SapuraCrest Petroleum Bhd's wholly-owned subsidiary, Aurabayu Sdn Bhd was granted a syndicated Islamic financing facilities of up to RM750m comprising ringgit Malaysia and US dollar denominated tranches from Maybank Investment Bank Bhd. Maybank Investment acted as the mandated lead arranger and bookrunner. (Source: The Star)

Transmile: Sells four aircraft to FedEx for RM209m. Transmile Group Bhd has sold four MD-11F aircraft to Federal Express Corp (FedEx) for RM208.8m. The funds raised from the disposal would be used to partially settle the outstanding debt of the company, which amounted to RM528.9m as at Sept 30, 2010. (Source: The Star)

Integrax: Perak allows Vale of Brazil to build its jetty in Lumut. Vale International SA has been allowed by the Perak state government to construct its own jetty in Lumut to accommodate its proposed iron ore transshipment project. Vale was originally supposed to use Integrax Bhd's Lekir Bulk Terminal (LBT), but the facility upgrade has been on hold since 2009 due to the feud between two brothers who hold a combined 37% stake in Integrax through Halim Rasip Holdings. (Source: The Star)

Property: Tambun Indah IPO oversubscribed by 14.9x. Property developer Tambun Indah Land Bhd's initial public offering (IPO) of 11.1m shares was oversubscribed by 14.9 times where 10,751 applications for 175.7m shares with a total value of RM123m were received. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Construction: Benalec oversubscribed by 4.9times. Benalec Holdings Bhd, which will be listed on the Main Market of Bursa Malaysia, has received an oversubscription rate of 4.92 times for the 36.5m shares made available for public subscription. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Plantation: Planters appeal to abolish windfall profit levy. Malaysian oil palm planters will appeal collectively to Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak to abolish the windfall profit levy on crude palm oil (CPO) after their requests were turned down by the Finance Ministry recently. The joint appeal is expected to be made by the Malaysian Palm Oil Association (MPOA), Malaysian Estate Owners' Association (MEOA), East Malaysia Planters' Association (EMPA) and Sarawak Oil Palm Plantation Owners' Association (SOPPOA). (Source: The Star)

Conglo: JCorp's directors may not attend EGMs. Johor Corp (JCorp) directors representing the Johor and Federal governments are unlikely to attend the EGM's of Johor Corp's three public listed companies (Kulim, Damansara Realty, KPJ Healthcare) this month to remove Tan Sri Muhammad Ali Hashim as their respective chairman. (Source: The Star)