RHBInvest Research
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Top Story
- The spike in volume and value of trades indicates that there is still ample liquidity in the market.
- Expect continued anticipation in terms of news flow for new projects, contracts, M&A. However, focus will shift more to actual award of contracts or projects, as well as to delivery and execution, potentially causing disappointment.
- The news flow for some sectors (in particular the oil & gas sector) appears to be going strong, and will continue to be the catalyst in the near term.
- In our view, the market will remain a trading market as we believe share prices cannot veer too far from fundamental valuations.
Sector Call
Plantation:
- 2010 production a disappointment, what of 2011?
- Should there be another disappointment in production in 2011, CPO prices could potentially remain at high levels of above RM3,500/tonne for the entire year.
- We maintain our CPO price assumptions at RM3,100/tonne for 2011 and RM2,900/tonne for 2012.
- No change to our Overweight rating on the sector
Oil & Gas:
Dialog:
- Fair value raised to RM2.82
- Outperform
Sapuracrest:
- Fair value maintained at RM3.86 Outperform
KNM:
- Fair value maintained at RM3.78 Outperform
Dayang:
- Fair value maintained at RM3.36 Outperform
Petronas Gas:
- Fair value maintained at RM13.51 Outperform
Kencana:
- Fair value raised slightly to RM2.89
- Market Perform (Down from OP)
Petra Perdana:
- Fair value raised to RM1.29 using P/NTA methodology
- Market Perform (Up from UP)
Wah Seong:
- Fair value maintained at RM2.02
- Market Perform
We are reiterating out Overweight call on the sector.
Corporate Highlights
PLUS: Underperform (down from TB)
- It all ends with a whimper.
- With the latest news, it is now very likely that UEM-EPF will stick to their existing RM4.60 offer. With no firm competing bids, UEM-EPF has no compelling reason to raise their offer.
- PLUS yesterday confirmed only UEM-EPF remitted the RM50m cash deposit.
- We downgrade PLUS from Trading Buy to Underperform with a fair value of RM4.60 (previously RM5.20) to reflect the offer price by UEM-EPF.
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