RHBInvest Research

Tuesday, January 11, 2011


Top Story

  • The spike in volume and value of trades indicates that there is still ample liquidity in the market.
  • Expect continued anticipation in terms of news flow for new projects, contracts, M&A. However, focus will shift more to actual award of contracts or projects, as well as to delivery and execution, potentially causing disappointment.
  • The news flow for some sectors (in particular the oil & gas sector) appears to be going strong, and will continue to be the catalyst in the near term.
  • In our view, the market will remain a trading market as we believe share prices cannot veer too far from fundamental valuations.


Sector Call


Plantation:
  • 2010 production a disappointment, what of 2011?
  • Should there be another disappointment in production in 2011, CPO prices could potentially remain at high levels of above RM3,500/tonne for the entire year.
  • We maintain our CPO price assumptions at RM3,100/tonne for 2011 and RM2,900/tonne for 2012.
  • No change to our Overweight rating on the sector


Oil & Gas:

Dialog:
  • Fair value raised to RM2.82
  • Outperform

Sapuracrest:
  • Fair value maintained at RM3.86 Outperform

KNM:
  • Fair value maintained at RM3.78 Outperform

Dayang:
  • Fair value maintained at RM3.36 Outperform

Petronas Gas:
  • Fair value maintained at RM13.51 Outperform

Kencana:
  • Fair value raised slightly to RM2.89
  • Market Perform (Down from OP)

Petra Perdana:
  • Fair value raised to RM1.29 using P/NTA methodology
  • Market Perform (Up from UP)

Wah Seong:
  • Fair value maintained at RM2.02
  • Market Perform

We are reiterating out Overweight call on the sector.


Corporate Highlights

PLUS: Underperform (down from TB)
  • It all ends with a whimper.
  • With the latest news, it is now very likely that UEM-EPF will stick to their existing RM4.60 offer. With no firm competing bids, UEM-EPF has no compelling reason to raise their offer.
  • PLUS yesterday confirmed only UEM-EPF remitted the RM50m cash deposit.
  • We downgrade PLUS from Trading Buy to Underperform with a fair value of RM4.60 (previously RM5.20) to reflect the offer price by UEM-EPF.

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