KBES Bhd currently in downtrend mode. RSI-14 just move out from the oversold area a few weeks ago. Volume slightly increase lately. Will KBES perform double bottom soon? See my previous post about chart pattern. Here is KBES Bhd daily chart below;
What do you think? Any news or rumors? See what happen next...
Proton Holding Daily ChartAs today is Christmas festival, no trade today. Mmmm... So tomorrow there will be a trade for me. You? I am not ready for posting any chart right now. Just want to say Merry Christmas and enjoy your holiday!
Maybe I will review some spot counter tonight. See you...
Technorati Profile
Astro Daily ChartOn my last post about this counter, it is just near the fibonacci retracement 100% level. Air Asia Bhd currently on selling pressure which we can see that the volume still increasing at this current situation. Air Asia closed at the RM1.59 which is traded with heavy volume. If I am not mistaken, it was on the top volume on the last Friday. Remember, fast drop with volume spikes will end the previous trend and we will see the trend reversal. This is what I want to see and learning as much as possible from market fast action. Hopefully, I will not miss again on this trade. I will waiting the reversal confirmation to entry this stock. Maybe after Christmas will show some bullish signs. Happy learning and happy trading!
Read more...
KFC Daily Chart
Pos Malaysia Bhd Daily Chart
Air Asia Bhd Daily Chart
Mobif Bhd Daily Chart
KFC Holding Daily Chart
YNH Property Daily Chart
Astro Daily Chart
KFC Holding (M) Sdn Bhd own 100% of KFC restaurants franchise in Malaysia and Singapore which is backed by fully integrated poultry operations. Today KFC maintains its dominance of the fast market in our country.
KFC Daily Chart
Nextnation Weekly Chart
DJI Index Daily Chart
I often check this data recently since our local stock market sentiment very much depends on the wall street performance. Check it out to build your confident before entering the market the next day.
Read more...
Tenaga Daily ChartTitan Petrochemical and Pos Malaysia currently in oversold area using RSI 14 days. Both in downtrend mode and were traded near their popular fibonacci level, 100% and 161.8% level as well. See both charts below:
Titan Petrochemical Daily Chart
Pos Malaysia Daily Chart
GPACKET Weekly Chart
Kuala Lumpur Composite Index Daily ChartKuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) dropped 19 points and closed at 1382 today on profit taking activities following Wall Street’s extended losses. Lately for the couple of days, the trading volume drops significantly with less than one billion daily average traded. Considering the short term views, our stock market in minor correction mode and will ready for technical rebound. Probably we will see a few people will jump and try to catch a falling knife during this time. Anyway, all eyes tonight surely will focus on the DJIA and our stock market;
Bursa Malaysia commentary in Star Online today.
Types of Trader
A stock trading system is simply a piece of software that helps assist in your stock trading. These systems are designed to help you accurately determine when to buy and sell, as well as what kind of profits to expect. But since it is a piece of software ultimately designed by a human, one has to wonder how accurate it can be.
A stock trading system bases its functionality on certain technical analysis tools, and since there are many types of analysis tools, the results can vary depending on which system you use. On the one hand, it is great to find an automated system that can assist with this analysis, yet on the other, accuracy will depend on which tools it uses.
And therein lies the problem with a trading system - whether or not this program will work as it claims depends on the programming. That is why a lot of care and research needs to be put in to determine which trading system will be best for your needs.
KUALA LUMPUR (Thomson Financial) - Malaysian shares closed sharply higher Friday, with the benchmark index hitting a fresh record as investors became increasingly convinced the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next week.
The Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) closed up 20.08 points or 1.5 percent at 1,398.35. For the week, the KLCI was up 28.18 points or 2.5 percent. Advancers beat decliners 663 to 222, with 255 stocks unchanged and 184 counters untraded. Volume traded was heavy at 1.91 billion shares valued at 2.17 billion ringgit.
KLCI Weekly ChartVADS’ core businesses are the management of computer network systems and call centers. It is an information technology (IT) company that can provide total solutions for companies seeking to outsource their internal computer and network requirements.
Standard and Poor's (S&P) quoted in his stock commentary today that "We reiterate our Buy recommendation and raise our 12-month target price to MYR7.00 (from MYR5.44 adjusted for a 1 into 2 share split)".
VADS intends to pay out 40% - 60% of net earnings as dividends giving reasonable yields forecast at 3.6%. With MYR19 mln net cash at end-Jun. 2007, we believe the conservative payout policy leaves VADS with sufficient reserves to make further strategic acquisitions or failing which, to raise the payout going forward. (S&P)
Tenaga Nasional (Tenaga) is the electricity utility company in
Standard and Poor's (S&P) said in his stock commentary today that "We reiterate our Strong Buy recommendation and 12-month target price of MYR13.00". Risks to our recommendation and target price include Tenaga being made to absorb higher gas prices, the continued upward spiraling of non-gas fuel costs and weaker-than-expected electricity demand growth.
Tenaga Nasional Weekly Chart
Above is Tenaga Nasional weekly chart and I will put my comment on this counter. The 200 SMA is used to separate bull territory from bear territory. Since end of July 2006 Tenaga stock trading below 200 SMA which showing that it is in bear or downtrend mode. Technical indicator 14-weeks RSI set a new low while the indicator is not. This is triple bullish divergence. But I'm still thinking that the price will be at intermediate support at RM8.50 which at the same time relate to fibonacci 261.8% level. Patience is the key to success and we should waiting the confirmation signal for trading and take small risk that acceptable.
Additionally, Tenaga Nasional slid 20 sen or 2.1% to 9.25 ringgit after the company reported a lower-than-expected fourth-quarter net profit due to foreign exchange losses. Investors were also worried that higher power purchase costs and a potential increase in fuel costs may impact Tenaga's outlook next year.
Trading is on your own risk. Happy learning and happy trading!
Very active stock trader who holds positions for a very short time and makes several trades each day. Day traders are individuals who are trying to make a career out of buying and selling stocks very quickly, often making dozens of trades in a single day and generally closing all positions at the end of each day. Day trading can be costly, since the commissions and the bid/ask spread add up when there are so many transactions.
What is the definition of a Day Trade?
A day trade is the purchase and sale (or short sale and purchase) of the same security on the same day in a single account.
2. What is not a Day Trade?
Liquidation of overnight positions (or purchase to cover a previous day's short sale) of the same security the next day will no longer be considered a Day Trade.
Read more...
The market closed lower last Friday with the KLCI falling 6.15 points or 0.45% to 1,370.17. The market started on a positive note but gave way to selling pressure in line with the weaknesses in regional bourses.
Today KLCI ended with 19.36 points dropped at 1350.81. Dow Jones Index slumped 366 points last Friday which showing us high impact on US market crisis to our regional stock market. Counter gainers 136 while losers 784.
For those who is still hold any stocks, lock your profit tight. Stay away from market at the moment if you are not very confident.
As per Warrant Buffet said:
Rule No. 1: Do not lose your money. Protect your profit.
Rule No. 2: Do not forget rule No.1
Trade on your own risk. Happy trading!
Table of Authorized Online Stock Broker Listed By Bursa Malaysia
Online stock broker is a comprehensive web-based, real-time Electronic Client Ordering System (ECOS) that facilitates clients with the ease and convenience of online share trading for all securities listed on Bursa Malaysia. Through this service, clients can place orders and such as:
Astro Daily Chart
Overlook Astro below 200MA and still in downtrend mode. On last Friday, breakout based on the downtrend line happened as picture above with average 5-days volume high then price closed at 4.16. The price may retest a few times around the trendline. Candlesticks showing bullish patterns. Technical indicator RSI >70 Astro in overbought area which seems that Astro may do correction in very short-term period.
This counter looks very interesting when my analysis showing some contradict. Dowtrend line already broken with 5-day average volume high. Trading rules for trendline entry method already fulfilled when today 8/10/2007 Astro opened at 4.16. The red horizontal (4.15) and vertical line showing how to make an entry. If price open above the horizontal line, the entry is there. While my counts based on Elliot Wave Theory and Fibonacci Expansion line, overall Astro in downtrend which still in count no 4 and waiting count no 5 for the end.
My instinct said that downtrend is still ongoing on Astro and I will not trade this counter. Sometimes you must believe your instinct which will guide you to make decisions.
Day after this I will show you how to trade using trendlines, Elliot Wave Theory and some explanation about Fibonacci. The basic material to show you is still in progress.
Anyway, happy learning and happy trading!
KLCI Daily Chart
KLCI ends +0.19% at 1372.39 in heavy volume with more than 2 billion shares changing hands as bargain hunting on blue chips, government-linked stocks by local funds helped reverse losses. Market breath turned positive at close with gainers edging out decliners 631 to 282. Follow through buying interest may push benchmark to retest all time high of 1392.18 tomorrow.
On the wall street market, the Dow and the S&P 500 surged to all-time intraday highs on Friday after a solid employment report rekindled optimism about the U.S. economy and corporate profits. The S&P 500 also closed at a record high.
Technically from the price chart above we can see that market is trying hardly to retest the previous high at 1392 points. After some moment of the bearish sentiment US market, KLCI take a breath at the fibo level and might to retest all the time high. Daily RSI showing that KLCI in overbought area RSI>70 which I expect that correction will happen this week. Overall look up still uptrend and promising.
Additionally with the Hari Raya holidays around the corner and given the lack of fresh leads on the local front, market observers say the KL Composite Index will likely fall into consolidation mode this week.
Enjoy this reading and happy learning!
The most common chart patterns that usually trades are as follow:
1) Symmetrical Triangles
2) Ascending Triangles
3) Descending Triangles
4) Double Top
5) Double Bottom
6) Head and Shoulders
7) Reverse Head and Shoulders
KLCI +1.2% at 1336.02 in heavy volume, buoyed by local funds ahead of Eastern Corridor Economic Region announcement by Petronas; market breadth positive with gainers leading decliners 481 to 231.
At this moment, market is unpredictable. So trade on your own risk.
Happy trading!
Back in Malaysia market, the KLCI closed 2.73 points or 0.2% lower to 1305.94 last Friday, weighed down by heavyweights like Maybank and Tenaga as investors locked in profits after 3 days of strong rebound.
Today Index Composite gain another 11.3 points closed at the 1317.24 points. Expected market will rise some more points this week.
No trade was made during last week. Our buy order didn't trigger.
Here is US news update because recently our stock market performance is very much depending on US market which is straggle in market crisis...
NEW YORK, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Wall Street expects Federal Reserve policy-makers to cut interest rates next Tuesday to help ease a global credit squeeze, a much anticipated event that spurred stock prices higher this week and could boost them next week.
Investors expect the Federal Open Market Committee to cut the federal funds rate in response to growing concerns that the U.S. economy is slowing and may be heading into recession.
Short-term interest rate futures on Friday indicated investors believe a half a percentage point cut in the federal funds rate is slightly more likely than a quarter percentage point cut when the FOMC meets.
Some investors say the stock market has priced in a quarter-percentage point rise, limiting any upside. But if the past is a guide, investors will react to the actual event, said David Bianco, chief U.S. equity strategist at UBS in New York.
"I think the market's going to have a positive reaction to it, I really do," said Bianco, who expects a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate and a 50 basis point cut in the discount rate.
"It will signal a response to what's going on, to try to prevent credit market troubles from spreading to the real economy," he said.
Reuters polls showed on Thursday that economists see about a 30 percent chance that the United States enters recession in the next 12 months should the effects of a housing slowdown continue to seep into the wider economy.
Major U.S. stock market gauges moved up this week in anticipation of a rate cut, with the Dow Jones industrial average Read more...KLCI plunged another 14 points today due to Dow Jones down on last Friday.
Today Inix never touch 0.12. So there is no trade today.
New Trade: Cocoaland current price ~ 0.855
Buy order: 0.685
Sell order: 0.730
We will see the result tomorrow.
Happy trading!
KLCI Daily Chart
As expected last week, KLCI gains with the white candle and closed at 1305.04 points. This week (tomorrow) cannot be expected because last week was our budget announcement but the Dow Jones Index plunged another 249 points due to jobs loss data. We will see it tomorrow how KLCI will react.
I forgot to mention that the new technical indicator Bollinger Bands will be included after this for every stocks anaysis. This is one of the most powerful tools to be included in my trading system. I will describe it later or I if you cannot wait me, just click the website in education column.
Happy learning and happy trading!
Hexza Daily Chart
In my last comment, Hexza was traded in it's trendline and symmetrical triangle. It already broke the trendline and breakout happened. New trendline already made and it retraced at 61% fibo line.
Scomi Marine Daily Chart
Scomimr already retraced at the lower trendline and bounce back to close above it. I don't have any idea how will this counter is trade. Since the market uncertainty and unexpected, I will stay away from it.
Yesterday we already put the Buy and Sell order for SCN as below:
Buy: 0.555
Sell: 0.620
But the actual range for today is 0.555 to 0.605. If you leave this without monitor you will lose your money because sell order didn't trigger and the price went back to lower BB.
But if you put sell order at 0.605 you will take profit RM0.05. Let's do some calculation.
Wednesday lower BB: 0.680
15% < BB: 0.580
Higher range today: 0.605 ;
0.680 - 0.605/0.680 x 100% = 11%
This is only for forward testing. We'll collect all the result for building a new trading system.
Today New Counter to test:
Inix current price close: 0.150
20% (new rules to adjust from 15%) x lower BB (0.155) = 0.031
Price to enter: 0.12
Sell order: 7% profit taking at ~ 0.13
This is my new trading system that I will implement during market sell off or any counter itself. Both technical indicator BB and RSI has its own characteristic especially when to measure overbought or oversold condition. The system still in test mode which still do not prove successful trade. At the moment I will put some selected counter that meet my criteria as follow:
Bollinger Band: lower than 15% from the lower band
RSI: oversold area around 20 / rsi support or trendline
Today paper trade No.1: (Please check the price chart at your own since my chart not available)
Buy SCN at RM0.555 ( price > 15% from the lower BB)
Profit taking or sold near the new (today) bollinger band at RM0.620 - parking
Start from tomorrow I'll try to post the result and the new paper trade.
Happy learning and happy trading!
The main focus of this article is to guide you through the process of developing your system. While it doesn’t take long to come up with a system, it does take some time to extensively test it. So be patient; in the long run, a good system can potentially make you a lot of money.
The first thing you need to decide when creating your system is what kind of trader you are. Are you a day trader or a swing trader? Do you like looking at charts every day, every week, every month, or even every year? How long do you want to hold on to your positions?
This will help determine which time frame you will use to trade. Even though you will still look at multiple time frames (go back to 7th grade if you forgot), this will be the main time frame you will use when looking for a trade signal.
Since one of our goals is to identify trends as early as possible, we should use indicators that can accomplish this. Moving averages are one of the most popular indicators that traders use to help them identify a trend. Specifically, they will use 2 moving averages (one slow and one fast) and wait until the fast one crosses over or under the slow one. This is the basis for what’s known as a “moving average crossover” system.
In its simplest form, moving average crossovers are the fastest ways to identify new trends. It is also the easiest way to spot a new trend.
Of course there are many other ways traders’ spot trends, but moving averages are one of the easiest to use.
Our second goal for our system is to have the ability to avoid whipsaws, meaning that we don’t want to be caught in a “false” trend. The way we do this is by making sure that when we see a signal for a new trend, we can confirm it by using other indicators.
There are many good indicators for confirming trends, but I really like MACD, Stochastics, and RSI. As you become more familiar with various indicators, you will find ones that you prefer over others, and can incorporate those into your system.
When developing your system, it is very important that you define how much you are willing to lose on each trade. Not many people like to talk about losing, but in actuality, a good trader thinks about what they could potentially lose BEFORE thinking about how much they can win.
The amount you are willing to lose will be different than everyone else. You have to decide how much room is enough to give your trade some breathing space, but at the same time, not risk too much on one trade. You’ll learn more about money management in a later lesson. Money management plays a big role in how much you should risk in a single trade.
Once you define how much you are willing to lose on a trade, your next step is to find out where you will enter and exit a trade in order to get the most profit.
Some people like to enter as soon as all of their indicators match up and give a good signal, even if the candle hasn’t closed. Others like to wait until the close of the candle.
In my experience, I have found that it is best to wait until a candle closes before entering. I have been in many situations where I will be in the middle of a candle and all my indicators match up, only to find that by the close of the candle, the trade has totally reversed on me!
It’s all really just a matter of trading style. Some people are more aggressive than others and you will eventually find out what kind of trader you are.
For exits, you have a few different options. One way is to trail your stop, meaning that if the price moves in your favor by ‘X’ amount, you move your stop by ‘X’ amount.
Another way to exit is to have a set target, and exit when the price hits that target. How you calculate your target is up to you. Some people choose support and resistance levels as their targets. Others just choose to go for the same amount of pips on every trade. However you decide to calculate your target, just make sure you stick with it. Never exit early no matter what happens. Stick to your system! After all, YOU developed it!
One more way you can exit is to have a set of criteria that, when met, would signal you to exit. For example, you could make it a rule that if your indicators happen to reverse to a certain level, you would then exit out of the trade.
This is the most important step of creating your trading system. You MUST write your trading system rules down and ALWAYS follow it. Discipline is one of the most important characteristics a trader must have, so you must always remember to stick to your system! No system will ever work for you if you don’t stick to the rules, so remember to be disciplined. Oh yea, did I mention you should ALWAYS stick to your rules?
Read more...
Hexza Weekly Chart
From the price chart showing that Hexza rebounced at the trendline and at 61.8% Fibo line. Currently it take breath at 50% Fibo line. The last black candle indicate that investor still doubtful due to US market crisis and be careful of the market action. On the technical indicator RSI showing that overall price decline/reflect to downtrend line (I forgot to to make RSI trendline). RSI bounce on the previous support and still stick down. My impression is it will follow the market which I can assume that the downtrend line only will break if overall market showing good picture (KLCI>1300).
KLCI Weekly Chart
After market sell off last week, market slightly recovered. KLCI retrace near the 50% Fibo line and bounce to 23% Fibo line before closed at 1273 points. If you see on the daily chart, we can saw long lower shadow candle existed (hammer) two weeks ago which I assume the pullback occurred. On the technical indicator RSI showing that KLCI at the moment is downtrend. The sell off two weeks ago tested previous RSI support and bounce back to 50 level. At the moment, not only our market but the most of the world major indices depend on the US economy. The sell-off was triggered by renewed concern about weak housing, consumer confidence reports and ongoing credit and mortgage market woes in the US. All eyes now focusing the US index especially Dow Jones. Tomorrow I expected KLCI will open higher since the US market on last Friday gain 119 points.
This is an extension of Secret #6. Trading is stressful no matter who you talk to. Money is stress. So do everything you can think of to eliminate this stress. You will be happier and you'll be more successful. I have met hundreds of successful traders and one thing they all have in common is their lack of stress. They all have hobbies, families, friends, sports, and leisure activities that allow them to follow their rules without stressing about every move. It's amazing! I explain the stories in my book but I can tell you right here that my trading results went through the roof once I took a break from trading to pursue other activities. For years I thought I needed to spend every waking hour thinking about and developing my trading career. I became so stressed when the results were poor and so happy when the results were good. It was a roller coaster of emotions and stresses. I needed a break so I took a sabbatical for several months (but I left my rules intact and on auto-pilot with my broker). I returned to the best results of my career. I realized that my constant presence was only hurting my chances. From that point on I realized that I needed to make trading only one (of many) facets of my life.
The seven secret of the highly successful trader articles already completed which I took from the other website. Hopefully we can gain something on this beneficial articles.
Share prices continued to recover last Thursday amid improved trading sentiment as fears of a global credit crunch eased. The KL Composite Index rose 28.23 points to settle at 1,283.62. Market breadth was positive with gainers outnumbered losers by 771 to 173. While on Friday market close at 1273. Gainers 481. Losers 363. On Friday night we also can see that the Dow Jones Index gain another 142 points which I expect that next week KLCI will also follow this positive change.
I was on holiday for the whole week recently and no update is written on this blog. I also have problem with my KLCI chart which I think just for temporary. Problem to download data.
I'll update and continue monitor market this week.
Simply put, forget about the money. Follow your rules and pretend you are playing with chips. Be happy that you stuck to your rules and are winning the game. But if you think too much about the money then the losses will eat you up. You have to look at the big picture and the best way to do that is to forget about the money. In action terms, it means to stop looking at the newspaper every morning to see if your stock has gone up or down. If it hasn't triggered one of your actions (like exit or another entry) then don't worry about it because it doesn't concern you until action is required. If you stick to your rules then you really shouldn't even need to know anything about your stocks or your money until action is required (and even then you can automate most of those processes). The top traders never saw their trading as a cash box. They were either running a business or playing a game. It just is not possible to become a top trader if you view every single tick in the market as money lost or money gained.
Read more...
KLCI Daily Chart
Share prices tumbled again yesterday as investors reduced their equity exposure due to the uncertain U.S. market outlook and worries about credit market risk. Some Asian stock markets saw the biggest losses since the Sept. 2001 attacks on the U.S.
I will stay away from the market at the moment.
The top traders know that it is the discipline displayed in following their rules that make all the difference. If you do not believe in yourself and your system then you are going to have difficulty following your rules. Following your rules is the most important aspect of successful trading. But even if you do follow all your rules, if you are constantly doubting yourself then you aren't going to have any fun at all, plain and simple. You will be miserable. Although this step is important, it should come naturally if you follow the other rules because positive self-belief can be obtained through repetition and success. If you follow your rules and continue to strive towards developing and sticking to your system then the success of your plan will likely improve your belief in yourself and your system. If you are not believing in yourself then there may be a problem with your system... it may not be suited for you.
Read more...In other words, once you have put the time and energy into determining your system, your work is not done. You have to constantly evaluate and assess your system via education. Now, I'm not saying that you have to worry about your plan every time you make a trade. That would contradict Secret number 3! What I'm saying is that if you were a brain surgeon would you stop learning new techniques and new technology after you finished your internship? I certainly hope not! Hopefully, you'll keep educating yourself so that, at minimum, you can keep up with the changing times. At maximum, you keep improving until you become one of the best. Keep learning...even when you think you know everything there is to know about investing.
Read more...
Scomimr Daily Chart
Price already break the trendline and make lower high during this market crisis. Technical indicator 14-period RSI also break the support line and already tested at 2 last candle then pointing down. But it doesn't mean the overall scomimr will downtrend. From the chart we can see that price retrace at 61.8% fibonacci line (golden ratio) which has been tested two times. Current support is 1130. The last candle hammer showing that sellers already exhausted and the buyers took control. I know this will contradict with the earlier statement. What's next?
Hexza Daily Chart
Hexza in my last analysis was trapped in symmetrical triangle. Recently the price breakdown and break the trendline. The 14-period RSI already touched near oversold area, still pointing down and close at the support RSI line area. The last three candles showing that Hexza in consolidation and find a support at 0735 which is near the fibonacci 50% line (0730). We will see next price action by next week...
Jaks Daily Chart
Recently in my analysis showing that Jaks was in symmetrical triangle. Jaks already break the existing resistance and shoot out the sky. But after 2 trading days failed to hold the price and went down. 14-period RSI already break the RSI support line and pointing down. Price consolidate at the moment and I defined no clue.
From my comments above, I will not recommend any trade at this moment due to market crisis which uncertainty. Trading during this time needs a very good skill to interpret the price action. As a new trader, I try to learn as much as possible what will the market action.
Moving averages help us to first define the trend and second, to recognize changes in the trend. That’s it. There is nothing else that they are good for.
Many traders will try and get cute using all kinds of various combinations and really it is just a waste of time.
You do not have to keep adjusting the period of a line on a chart hoping to find the Holy Grail. It isn't there!
I won’t be getting into the gory details about how they are constructed. There are about a zillion websites that will explain the mathematical make-up of them. I'll let you do that on your own one day when you are extremely bored out of your mind! But all you really have to know is that a moving average line is just the average price of a stock over time. That's it.
Read more...
KLCI Weekly Chart
KLCI weekly chart showing that KLCI turning down at the moment due to US subprime mortgage issue this week. Most stocks analysis said that Asia market will fluctuating by next week since most investor and floor trader will trade carefully until market showing good sign and quite stabilize.
On Friday, KLCI closed at 1287.7 points after touched the fibonacci 38.2% line at 1275.13 points. The last 3 black candles with high volumes and 14-period RSI turning down suggest that overall market still down.
The KLCI pattern movement at moment is volatile therefore if you playing counters good trading skill is a must to overcome the high risk and protect your capital. You may choose to stay aside if you are lack confident during this situation. Pay books and attend courses to learn is better rather than pay to stock market. Don't pay high cost for the simple learning. Do mistake in trading is not strange but once you do mistake, take it as a part of trading lessons. Don't repeat the same mistake or you will gain nothing.
Happy learning and happy trading!
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